Aljamain Sterling
Merab Dvalishvili

UFC Fight Simulator

Prediction Updated: Sunday July 27, 2025

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Simulation Results

Featherweight
Aljamain Sterling

35
CHANCE TO WIN

Percent chance each fighter has to win
Bantamweight
Merab Dvalishvili

65
NOTE: Fighter ratings and rankings are relative to respective weight classes

RATINGS

A-
92
Performance
A+
99
B+
88
Power
A+
99
B
86
Offensive
A+
99
A-
91
Defensive
A
94

RANKINGS

17 Overall 1
25 Power 1
31 Offensive 1
20 Defensive 11

RECORDS

16-5 (76.2%) Overall 13-2 (86.7%)
3-2 (60%) Versus Current Top 10 4-0 (100%)
12-4 (75%) Versus > .500 Fighters 9-2 (81.8%)
4-1 (80%) Versus < .500 Fighters 4-0 (100%)
3-2 (60%) Last 5 Fights 5-0 (100%)

SUPERLATIVES

Bantamweight #6 Petr Yan (11-4)
2022-04-09 UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Round 5 S-DEC
Best WinBantamweight #5 Umar Nurmagomedov (6-1)
2025-01-18 UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Round 5 U-DEC
Bantamweight #9 Sean O'Malley (10-3)
2023-08-19 UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Round 2 KO/TKO Punches
Worst LossBantamweight #22 Ricky Simon (9-5)
2018-04-21 UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
Round 3 SUB Guillotine Choke

OTHER STATISTICS

6 (28.6%) Finishes 2 (13.3%)
2 (9.5%) KOs 1 (6.7%)
4 (19%) Submissions 1 (6.7%)
9 (42.9%) Decisions 11 (73.3%)
161-102 Opponent Record 107-69
33.5 Average Opponent Rank 29.6
W 9 Long Streak W 13
L 1 Current Streak W 13

LAST 5 FIGHTS

L
2024-12-07
Featherweight #2 Movsar Evloev (9-0)
Round 3 U-DEC
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
W
2025-06-07
Bantamweight #9 Sean O'Malley (10-3)
Round 3 SUB Guillotine Choke
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
W
2024-04-13
Featherweight #73 Calvin Kattar (7-8)
Round 3 U-DEC
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
W
2025-01-18
Bantamweight #5 Umar Nurmagomedov (6-1)
Round 5 U-DEC
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
L
2023-08-19
Bantamweight #9 Sean O'Malley (10-3)
Round 2 KO/TKO Punches
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
W
2024-09-14
Bantamweight #9 Sean O'Malley (10-3)
Round 5 U-DEC
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
W
2023-05-06
Bantamweight #49 Henry Cejudo (10-5)
Round 5 S-DEC
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
W
2024-02-17
Bantamweight #49 Henry Cejudo (10-5)
Round 3 U-DEC
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
W
2022-10-22
Bantamweight TJ Dillashaw (13-5)
Round 2 KO/TKO Punches
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
W
2023-03-11
Bantamweight #6 Petr Yan (11-4)
Round 5 U-DEC
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili

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